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Airlines

British Airways Owner IAG Sees Profit Fall 16% on Fuel and Now Expects 2026 Capacity to Dip

by NonRev Travel News Staff
November 6, 2026
in Airlines
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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British Airways Boeing 777

Photo: Acroterion / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0

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LONDON, Nov. 6, 2026 — IAG, which owns British Airways, Iberia, Vueling, Aer Lingus and LEVEL, reported a 15.9% fall in third-quarter operating profit to €1.73bn, below the €1.81bn analysts expected. It now expects 2026 capacity to be slightly lower than last year, its first decline since 2022. Aer Lingus’s own results are covered in a separate story.

Q3 2026 at a glance

Measure Result
Operating profit before exceptional items €1.73bn, down 15.9%
Operating margin 17.7%
Pre-tax profit €1.63bn, down 12.9%
Revenue Up 4.5%
Jet fuel cost Up 30.4%, adding €570m in the quarter
Full-year 2026 fuel bill (after hedging) €8.9bn expected
2027 fuel hedged 45%
Q4 bookings 85% booked
Interim dividend Up 10% to €0.053 per share

CEO Luis Gallego said: “For the quarter we have achieved an operating margin before exceptional items of 17.7%.”

Other points

  • Capacity: IAG blames Middle East disruption linked to the Iran war for the dip. Iberia and BA moved third-quarter flying away from the Middle East.
  • Fares: BA aims to pass on close to 100% of higher fuel costs over the full year. It did not say how much fares will rise.
  • NATS outage: the Sept. 8 air traffic control failure cost IAG €25–30m and affected 500 flights and 85,000 customers.
  • Buyback: IAG is continuing the final €500m tranche of its €1.5bn share buyback.
  • Bomb-threat hoaxes: Gallego said each threat must be taken seriously, noting that “with an email or a phone call you can create a problem.”
  • Avios VAT fight: HMRC is challenging how IAG has accounted for VAT on Avios.
    • €638m (about $710m) is at stake, going back to March 2018.
    • IAG books €516m as an asset it expects to recover if it wins, and €122m as a contingent asset.
    • A tribunal hearing is expected later in 2026 (date TBA), with a decision in 2027.

What it means for non-revs

  • With Q4 85% booked and capacity slightly down, expect full aircraft across BA, Iberia and Vueling through the holiday period. Plan pass travel on off-peak days.
  • Capacity moved away from the Middle East went to other markets. Middle East flying is still reduced, so check whether a flight is still operating before you list for it.
  • Hoax bomb threats have diverted European flights this week. Allow extra connection time and carry essentials in case a diversion strands you overnight.
  • Employees who collect Avios should follow the VAT case. View from the Wing says an outcome against IAG could leave members with less valuable points.

Sources

  • RTÉ (Reuters) — IAG sees 2026 capacity slightly down year-on-year
  • FlightGlobal — IAG profits take cost hit in third quarter despite strong yields
  • The Independent via Yahoo Finance UK — British Airways owner hit by fuel costs and up to £25m air traffic chaos bill
  • Aviation News Online — British Airways’ owner lifts dividend 10% and continues share buyback despite fuel price profit hit
  • View from the Wing — British Airways $710 Million Tax Fight Could Leave Members With Less Valuable Points

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Tags: AviosBritish AirwaysEarningsIAGIberia
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